Moving Beyond a Single Risk Score

By David Clain

A patient’s health profile is complex and constantly evolving. To truly improve patient outcomes, predictive analytics should incorporate a multi-dimensional view of the patient, focusing on on both clinical and temporal drivers of health status.

Clinical Dimensionality

No single risk score can capture the clinical complexity of a patient. Understanding a patient’s health status requires evaluating dozens or hundreds of distinct risks, including heart failure, infection, and avoidable ED risk. Advanced predictive analytics should capture the complex clinical dimensions of each patient.

Temporal Dimensionality

Even the most advanced clinical drivers only capture a single point in time, while health and risk are, of course, constantly evolving. To help providers identify trends and formulate care plans, predictive analytics should illuminate each patient’s health trajectory, providing insight into those whose risks are rising and those whose risks are falling.

As an example, let’s take a look at four patients (actual patients, de-identified): Gabriel, Elise, Rachel and Henry. At a single point in time, they have all been identified with a similar one-year mortality risk, as shown below.

However, a year-long view of their health risks gives a much different perspective on each patient’s health trajectory:

How HDAI Can Help

We have incorporated clinical and temporal drivers into Health Vision, our predictive analytics platform. Unlike offerings that rely on static risk assessments, Health Vision provides:

  • Full risk assessment using our broad and growing suite of predictors, including for rising risks
  • Health trends to highlight worrying trajectories and their causes
  • Chronic condition summaries to reduce the need for “chart biopsies”
  • Utilization review to flag recent encounters
  • Drug fill analysis to highlight critical gaps in prescription fills
  • Preventive care gaps using specialty guidelines, with alerts for high-need patients using our models

 

For more information on HDAI’s Health Vision, please request a demo.

Your privacy matters

We believe that an individual’s meaningful control over their own data is as valuable as the data itself. That’s why we are committed to protecting privacy at every turn.
We always:
  • Provide transparency about the information we collect and why we collect it
  • Comply with all applicable privacy rules and regulations
  • Delete personal data from our servers if an individual opts out
We never:
  • Sell data to third parties
  • Share data with third parties besides the primary, explicitly authorized institution
  • Collect data besides what is disclosed
  • Keep personal data for individuals who have opted out

We speak legalese only when we have to, but we do our best to keep it human. Provided below are the full versions of our Privacy Policy and Terms of Service. If you have any questions, don’t hesitate to contact us for clarification.

Kevin Sampson
VP Finance

By listening and connecting with people, Kevin understands that accurate timely information is vital for everyone in the healthcare system. He received a BS in Accounting and an MBA in Finance and Entrepreneurial Studies from Babson College.

Paul Manberg
VP Clinical and Regulatory Affairs

Paul is an innovative, pragmatic leader with over 40 years’ experience in the medical device and pharmaceutical industries. He has directed clinical trial programs and regulatory activities supporting the successful market introduction of numerous impactful products. He spends his leisure time on the Outer Banks of North Carolina, body surfing and fishing. He received a PhD in pharmacology from The University of North Carolina School of Medicine.

Scott Greenwald
Chief Scientist

With over 25 years’ experience in healthcare research and innovation, Scott is an unprecedented leader in his field, focusing on improved care for everyone. He is an author of over 10 US Patents and over 100 peer-reviewed abstracts and manuscripts. While he’s not immersed in research, you’ll find him sailing. He received a PhD in Medical Engineering from the Harvard-MIT Division of Health Sciences and Technology (HST).

Josh Gray
VP Analytic Services
Josh has 30 years’ experience in healthcare, including The Advisory Board Company, athenahealth, and Boston Consulting Group. Across his career, he has used a wide range of conventional and unconventional data sources to understand and teach the keys to top performance among the nation’s most innovative health systems and physician groups. Josh enjoys music, hiking, traveling, and watching his daughter take part in synchronized skating competitions. He received an MBA from The Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania and an undergraduate degree from Brown University.
Carola Endicott
Customer Engagement, Marketing

Carola has 30 years’ experience in healthcare, including HMOs, hospitals, and start-ups. Her knowledge and optimistic outlook in operations and leadership, and her passion for making healthcare workers’ lives easier is what drives her devotion to customer engagement. She received an EdM from Harvard University Graduate School of Education.

David Clain
Chief Product Officer
David has vast experience with healthcare customers from his time at The Advisory Board Company and athenahealth. His expertise and passion for statistics, strategy, and innovative analytic insights is unrivaled, as is his devotion to the Duke Blue Devils. Looking for that “aha moment” of positive change is what drives him. He received a BA from Duke University.
Mike Bertrand
VP Product Development

A hard-working go-getter and outdoorsman, Mike has over 30 years of experience in Healthcare IT. Mike is a seasoned product guru with broad experience across the healthcare software spectrum. He received a BS in Computer Science from Westfield State University.

Margie Ahearn
VP HR

Margie has 25 years of experience in HR leadership. An avid boater, Margie has received numerous awards for excellence in HR and is always looking for challenges to grow professionally and personally. She graduated with an MBA from Southern New Hampshire University.

Nassib Chamoun
Founder and CEO and cheerleader-in-chief

Nassib is a data scientist, lover of logistical regression and serial entrepreneur. Outside of work he enjoys hosting and honing his cooking skills – specializing in Middle Eastern and outdoor feasts. He received an MS from Boston University.

Phil Devlin
COO

Phil has 30 years of experience in executive leadership. Along his journey he’s made effective and profound change in science. Little known facts about him — he loves traveling with his family, he was in the MD Engineering program at Harvard Medical School and owns 15 patents. He received an MS from Northeastern University.

What guides our culture

1

We are driven to make a profound impact on US healthcare

2

We operate in the best interests of patients and those who serve them

3

We understand and protect patient privacy and health information security

4

We use data science to enhance, but never replace clinical expertise and judgment

5

We are committed to continuous learning and improvement

6

We bring rigor, discipline, and reliability to our work

7

We start with kindness, assuming good intent in others

8

We are committed to building a diverse, inclusive team where all employees feel welcomed and appreciated

9

We are committed to the well-being of our employees and their families

Phil Devlin
COO

Phil has 30 years of experience in executive leadership. Along his journey he’s made effective and profound change in science. Little known facts about him — he loves traveling with his family, he was in the MD Engineering program at Harvard Medical School and owns 15 patents. He received an MS from Northeastern University.